Brazil

O objetivo desse trabalho é analisar conjuntos de variáveis que podem ter mais influência na previsão do resultado de uma partida de futebol, utilizando técnicas como cálculos de probabilidade e algoritmos de previsão, com a intenção de obter lucros em apostas. As técnicas utilizadas para o desenvolvimento foram redes bayesianas, com o algoritmo Naïve Bayes, e a de probabilidade, baseada no cálculo de Poisson. Os dados utilizados para treinamento foram do Campeonato Brasileiro, entre 2010 a 2017, sendo considerados os dados dos anos de 2018 e 2019 para testes. Os principais resultados atingidos foram de 53% de acerto do resultado de uma partida e as principais variáveis envolvidas foram força de ataque e força de defesa.

BRACIS 2021

Análise de Variáveis em Partidas de Futebol: Previsão de Resultados com Naïve Bayes e Poisson

algoritmo de previsão

apostas esportivas

análise de dados

probabilidade

futebol

previsão de resultados

The 9th Brazilian Conference on Intelligent Systems (BRACIS), the 16h Encontro Nacional de Inteligência Artificial e Computacional (ENIAC), and the 12th Concurso de Teses e Dissertações em Inteligência Artificial e Computacional (CTDIAC) was held from 20 to 23 October, 2020.

BRACIS originated from the combination of the two most important scientific events in Brazil in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Computational Intelligence (CI): the Brazilian Symposium on Artificial Intelligence - SBIA (22 editions), and the Brazilian Symposium on Neural Networks - SBRN (13 editions). ENIAC is a national forum for researchers, practitioners, educators and students to present and discuss innovations, trends, experiences, developments and work in progress in the fields of Artificial and Computational Intelligence. CTDIAC is a satellite event whose goals are to disseminate and award the best dissertations and theses (MSc and PhDs concluded in Brazilian universities from June 2018 to May 2020) in Artificial and Computational Intelligence areas.

In this year, the Symposium on Knowledge Discovery, Mining and Learning (KDMiLe) will be held in conjunction with BRACIS 2020. This sysposium aims at integrating researchers, practitioners, developers, students and users to present their research results, to discuss ideas, and to exchange techniques, tools, and practical experiences – related to the Data Mining and Machine Learning areas.

BRACIS 2020

technical paper

**BRACIS** originated from the combination of the two most important scientific events in Brazil in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Computational Intelligence (CI): the Brazilian Symposium on Artificial Intelligence – **SBIA** (22 editions), and the Brazilian Symposium on Neural Networks – **SBRN** (13 editions). **ENIAC** is a national forum for researchers, practitioners, educators and students to present and discuss innovations, trends, experiences, developments and work in progress in the fields of Artificial and Computational Intelligence. **STIL** is the bi-annual Language Technology event.
All events are supported by the Brazilian Computer Society – Special Interest Groups: **CE-IA**, **CE-IC** and **CE-PLN**.

To access the 10th Brazilian Conference on Intelligent Systems (**BRACIS**), you need to register for the conference.  Please visit the Conference official site to register

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BRACIS originated from the combination of the two most important scientific events in Brazil in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Computational Intelligence (CI): the Brazilian Symposium on Artificial Intelligence – SBIA (22 editions), and the Brazilian Symposium on Neural Networks – SBRN (13 editions). 
ENIAC is a national forum for researchers, practitioners, educators and students to present and discuss innovations, trends, experiences, developments and work in progress in the fields of Artificial and Computational Intelligence. 
STIL is the bi-annual Language Technology event.
All events are supported by the Brazilian Computer Society – Special Interest Groups: CE-IA, CE-IC and CE-PLN

Curriculum learning consists of training strategies for machinelearning techniques in which the easiest observations are presented first, progressing into more difficult cases as training proceeds. For assemblingthe curriculum, it is necessary to order the observations a dataset has ac-cording to their difficulty. This work investigates how instance hardnessmeasures, which can be used to assess the difficulty level of each obser-vation in a dataset from different perspectives, can be used to assemble acurriculum. Experiments with four CIFAR-100 sub-problems have demon-strated the feasibility of using the instance hardness measures, the mainadvantage is on convergence speed and some datasets accuracy gains canalso be verified.

Using instance hardness measures in curriculum learning

Predicting the stance of social media users on a topic can be challenging, especially for unsupervised cases. In this work, retweeted posts were used as elements of user interaction, to calculate the similarities between the most active within a discussion. Stance detection for these users was performed using dimensionality reduction and clustering techniques, topic modeling using contextual embeddings, and automatic cluster labeling based on recurring terms in each group. This approach produced a small number of user clusters (between 2 and 3), with uniformity in user labeling in different bases greater than 98%.

Automatic Twitter Stance Detection on Politically Controversial Issues: A Study on Covid-19's CPI

The development of new communication networks to offer
innovative services has increased the volume of data. With the introduction of
Deep Reinforcement Learning and Service Function Chaining architecture,
new research opportunities have emerged to propose solutions to the new
challenges. This work proposes a model to demonstrate through
computational simulations how these techniques can be applied. The model
was evaluated using two variations of the Deep Q-Network algorithm over the
CIC-Darknet dataset. Results showed that both variations are a promising
mechanism to make the networks more autonomous and intelligent.

A Model for Traffic Forwarding through Service Function Chaining using Deep Reinforcement Learning Techniques

Events are phenomena that occur at a specific time and place. Its detection can bring benefits to society since it is possible to extract knowledge from these events. Event detection is a multimodal task since these events have textual, geographical, and temporal components. Most multimodal research in the literature uses the concatenation of the components to represent the events. These approaches use multi-class or binary learning to detect events of interest which intensifies the user's labeling effort, where the user should label event classes even if there is no interest in detecting them. In this paper, we present the Triple-VAE approach that learns a unified representation from textual, spatial, and density modalities through a variational autoencoder, which is one of the state-of-the-art in representation learning. Our proposed Triple-VAE obtains suitable event representations for one-class classification, where users provide labels only for events of interest, thereby reducing the labeling effort. We carried out an experimental evaluation with ten real-world event datasets, four multimodal representation methods, and five evaluation metrics. Triple-VAE outperforms and presents a statistically significant difference considering the other three representation methods in all datasets. Therefore, Triple-VAE proved to be promising to represent the events in the one-class event detection scenario.

Triple-VAE: A Triple Variational Autoencoder to Represent Events in One-Class Event Detection

Wikipedia is an important free source of intelligible knowledge. Despite that, Brazilian Portuguese Wikipedia still lacks descriptions for many subjects. In an effort to expand the Brazilian Wikipedia, we contribute PLSum, a framework for generating wiki-like abstractive summaries from multiple descriptive websites. The framework has an extractive stage followed by an abstractive one. In particular, for the abstractive stage, we fine-tune and compare two recent variations of the Transformer neural network, PTT5, and Longformer. To fine-tune and evaluate the model, we created a dataset with thousands of examples, linking reference websites to Wikipedia. Our results show that it is possible to generate meaningful abstractive summaries from Brazilian Portuguese web content.

PLSUM: Generating PT-BR Wikipedia by Summarizing Multiple Websites

In this work we propose a selection Hyper-Heuristic (HH) based onthe Thompson Sampling (TS) approach to the solution of Quadratic AssignmentProblem (QAP). The QAP aims to allocate facilities in a set of possible knownlocations, in order to minimize the total cost of all movements between facili-ties. The proposed HH is applied in the automatic configuration of a memeticalgorithm, acting on the selection of a combination of low-level heuristics. Eachcombination involves the selection of a recombination heuristic, a local searchstrategy and a mutation heuristic. The algorithm was tested in 15 instances ofNug benchmark and the performance of HH is superior to that obtained by anycombination of heuristics applied in isolation, demonstrating its efficiency inthe automatic configuration of the algorithm. Experiments show that TS per-formance is affected by the quality of the set of low-level heuristics. The bestversion of HH obtains the optimal solution in 9 instances and the mean percen-tage deviation of the optimal solution (gap), considering all 15 instances, was 8.6%, with the largest gaps found for the three largest instances.

Thompson Sampling in Heuristic Selection for the Quadratic Assignment Problem

The universal approximation theorem ensures that any continuous real-valued function defined on a compact subset can be approximated with arbitrary precision by a single hidden layer neural network. Similarly, Arena et al. proved in 1996 that any continuous quaternion-valued function on a compact can be approximated with arbitrary precision by a single hidden layer quaternion-valued neural network whose hidden units are equipped with the so-called split activation function. Quaternions are four-dimensional hypercomplex numbers widely used to describe spatial rotations. Like quaternions, tessarines are four-dimensional hypercomplex numbers. However, in contrast quaternion algebra, the product of tessarines is commutative. The commutativity of tessarine's product may be advantageous for the design of neural networks because synaptic weights and neuron inputs can interchange their roles. In this paper, we show that the universal approximation theorem also holds for tessarine-valued neural networks. Precisely, we show that that any continuous tessarine-valued function can be approximated with arbitrary precision by a single hidden layer tessarine-valued neural network with split activation functions in the hidden layer. A simple numerical example, confirming the theoretical result and revealing the superior performance of a tessarine-valued neural network over a real-valued model for interpolating a vector-valued function, is presented in the paper.

Universal Approximation Theorem for Tessarine-Valued Neural Networks

Many image processing and analysis tasks are performed with deep neural networks. Although the vast majority of advances have been made with real numbers, recent works have shown that complex and hypercomplex-valued networks may achieve better results. In this paper, we address quaternion-valued and introduce tessarine-valued deep neural networks, including tessarine-valued 2D convolutions. We also address initialization schemes and hypercomplex batch normalization. Finally, a tessarine-valued ResNet model with hypercomplex batch normalization outperformed the corresponding real and quaternion-valued networks on the CIFAR dataset.

Tessarine and Quaternion-Valued Deep Neural Networks for Image Classification

Process mining explores event logs to offer valuable insights to business process managers. Some types of business processes are hard to mine, including unstructured and knowledge-intensive processes. Then, trace clustering is usually applied to event logs aiming to break it into sublogs, making it more amenable to the typical process mining task. However, applying clustering algorithms involves decisions, such as how traces are represented, that can lead to better results. In this paper, we compare four vector space models for trace clustering, using them with an agglomerative clustering algorithm in synthetic and real-world event logs. Our analyses suggest the embeddings-based vector space model can properly handle trace clustering in unstructured processes.

Vector space models for trace clustering: a comparative study

Morphological neural networks represent a class of artificial neural networks whose neurons perform an operation from mathematical morphology followed by the application of an activation function. This paper provides a comparative study of different approaches that use morphological neural networks. Specifically, according to the training rule, we review incremental approaches, approaches based on maximum descent methods, extreme learning machines, and convex-concave optimization procedures. Computational experiments showed that, on average, the reduced dilation-erosion perceptron with bagging and ensemble strategies had better results in several binary classification problems.

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Using instance hardness measures in curriculum learning

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