Austria

Event forecasting is a challenging task that requires temporal reasoning over historical data. Although iterative reasoning agents following the ReAct paradigm bring improvements to event forecasting tasks, they also increase the cost of each prediction and bring challenges in tracing the information that contributes to the prediction. In this study, we simplify the ReAct framework into a retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) pipeline. Surprisingly, the RAG outperforms ReAct with only 10\% of the token costs. Furthermore, our experiments reveal that structured statistical contexts significantly enhance forecasting accuracy, whereas introducing unstructured semantic information (e.g., news article titles) negatively impacts performance. In-depth analyses further highlight that the iterative reasoning traces impair forecasting accuracy in smaller-scale models but benefit larger models (e.g., 70B) in the event forecasting task. These insights underscore existing limitations in large language models&#39; temporal and semantic reasoning abilities, providing critical guidance for developing more cost-effective and reliable forecasting systems.

ACL 2025

The Power of Simplicity in LLM-Based Event Forecasting

## Welcome!
"I am excited to welcome you to this year’s edition of the Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing! Importantly, it marks the 30th edition of EMNLP. With over 8,000 submissions, more than 3,000 accepted papers, and thousands of attendees, we have come a long way from that first
workshop, which had 14 accepted papers. As the field looks ahead, Suzhou is the fitting location for celebrating this milestone: rooted in a long literary tradition, yet modern and forward-looking, and home to a large share of the NLP community." 

*Message from the General Chair, Dirk Hovy*

EMNLP 2025

Celebrate 30 Years of EMNLP! 
EMNLP 2025 will be held in Suzhou, China from November 5th to November 9th, 2025.

Event forecasting is a challenging task that requires temporal reasoning over historical data. Although iterative reasoning agents following the ReAct paradigm bring improvements to event forecasting tasks, they also increase the cost of each prediction and bring challenges in tracing the information that contributes to the prediction. In this study, we simplify the ReAct framework into a retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) pipeline. Surprisingly, the RAG outperforms ReAct with only 10\% of the token costs. Furthermore, our experiments reveal that structured statistical contexts significantly enhance forecasting accuracy, whereas introducing unstructured semantic information (e.g., news article titles) negatively impacts performance. In-depth analyses further highlight that the iterative reasoning traces impair forecasting accuracy in smaller-scale models but benefit larger models (e.g., 70B) in the event forecasting task. These insights underscore existing limitations in large language models' temporal and semantic reasoning abilities, providing critical guidance for developing more cost-effective and reliable forecasting systems.

workshop paper

### Welcome to The 63rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL 2025)

Message from the General Chair: 
*It is my great pleasure and honor to welcome you to the 63rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL 2025), held in beautiful Vienna, Austria, from July 27 to August 1, 2025. ACL2025continues our field’s tradition of excellence in scholarship, innovation, and inclusivity, and I am deeply grateful to the many volunteers who have worked tirelessly to bring this event to life.* 
[Read more](https://drive.google.com/file/d/1GI_hvOpjswAuYdUTromfeDiPpCcqidwg/view?usp=sharing)

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Welcome to The 63rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL 2025)

Machine translation (MT) has advanced significantly for high-resource languages, yet specialized domain translation remains a challenge for low-resource languages. This study evaluates the abilityof state-of-the-art multilingual models to translate animal health reports from English to Yorùbá, a crucial task for veterinary communication in underserved regions. We curated a dataset of 1,468 parallel sentences and compared multiple MT models in zero-shot and fine-tuned settings. Our findings indicate substantial limitations in their ability to generalize to domain-specific translation, with common errors arising from vocabulary mismatch, training data scarcity, and morphological complexity. Fine-tuning improves performance, particularly for the NLLB 3.3B model, but challenges remain in preserving technical accuracy. These results underscore the need for more targeted approaches to multilingual and culturally aware LLMs for African languages.

Beyond Generalization :Evaluating Multilingual LLMs for Yorùbá Animal Health Translation

The deployment of Large Language Models (LLMs) in real-world applications presents both opportunities and challenges, particularly in multilingual and code-mixed communication settings. This research evaluates the performance of seven leading LLMs in sentiment analysis on a dataset derived from multilingual and code-mixed WhatsApp chats, including Swahili, English and Sheng. Our evaluation includes both quantitative analysis using metrics like F1 score and qualitative assessment of LLMs' explanations for their predictions. We find that, while Mistral-7b and Mixtral-8x7b achieved high F1 scores, they and other LLMs such as GPT-3.5-Turbo, Llama-2-70b, and Gemma-7b struggled with understanding linguistic and contextual nuances, as well as lack of transparency in their decision-making process as observed from their explanations. In contrast, GPT-4 and GPT-4-Turbo excelled in grasping diverse linguistic inputs and managing various contextual information, demonstrating high consistency with human alignment and transparency in their decision-making process. The LLMs however, encountered difficulties in incorporating cultural nuance especially in non-English settings with GPT-4s doing so inconsistently. The findings emphasize the necessity of continuous improvement of LLMs to effectively tackle the challenges of culturally nuanced, low-resource real-world settings and the need for developing evaluation benchmarks for capturing these issues.

Beyond Metrics: Evaluating LLMs’ Effectiveness in Culturally Nuanced, Low-Resource Real-World Scenarios

In this paper, we introduce the first publicly available English-Kpelle dataset for machine translation, comprising over 2,000 sentence pairs drawn from everyday communication, religious texts, and educational materials. By fine-tuning Meta’s No Language Left Behind (NLLB) model on two versions of the dataset, we achieved BLEU scores of up to 30 in the Kpelle-to-English direction, demonstrating the benefits of data augmentation. Our findings align with NLLB-200 benchmarks on other African languages, underscoring Kpelle’s potential for competitive performance despite its low-resource status. Beyond machine translation, this dataset enables broader NLP tasks, including speech recognition and language modeling. We conclude with a roadmap for future dataset expansion, emphasizing orthographic consistency, community-driven validation, and interdisciplinary collaboration to advance inclusive language technology development for Kpelle and other low-resourced Mande languages

Building a Functional Machine Translation Corpus for Kpelle

Low-resource languages face significant challenges in natural language processing due to the scarcity of annotated data, linguistic resources, and the lack of language standardization, which leads to variations in grammar, vocabulary, and writing systems. This issue is particularly observed in many African languages, which significantly reduces their usability. To bridge this barrier, this paper investigates the challenges and limitations of collecting datasets for the Medumba language, a Grassfields Bantu language spoken in Cameroon, in the context of extremely low-resource natural language processing. We mainly focus on the specificity of this language, including its grammatical and lexical structure. Our findings highlight key barriers, including (1) the challenges in typing and encoding Latin scripts, (2) the absence of standardized translations for technical and scientific terms, and (3) the challenge of limited digital resources and financial constraints, highlighting the need to improve data strategies and collaboration to advance computational research on African languages. We hope that our study informs the development of better tools and policies to make knowledge platforms more accessible to extremely low-resource language speakers. We further discuss the representation of the language, data collection, parallel corpus development.

Challenges and Limitations in Gathering Resources for Low-Resource Languages: The Case of Medumba

We present an agentic framework, Thinker, which achieves state of art performance in challenging reasoning tasks for realistic customer service scenarios that involve complex business logic and human interactions via long horizons. On the $\tau$-bench retail dataset, Thinker achieves 82.6\% success rate with GPT-4o (version 2024-06-01) (baseline: 68.3\%), and 81.9\% success rate with Llama-3.1 405B (baseline: 49.6\%), without any fine-tuning. Thinker effectively closes the gap in reasoning capabilities between the base models by introducing proper structure. The key features of the Thinker framework are: (1) State-Machine Augmented Generation (SMAG), which represents business logic as state machines and the LLM uses state machines as tools. (2) Delegation of tasks from the main reasoning loop to LLM-powered tools. (3) Adaptive context management. Our prompting-only solution achieves signficant gains, while still maintaining a simple and standard agentic architecture with a ReAct style reasoning loop. The key is to innovate on the tool interface design, as exemplified by SMAG and the LLM-powered tools.

The Art of Tool Interface Design

Large language models (LLMs) have shown remarkable capabilities across various tasks, yet their potential to reason about and construct scientific methodologies remains under explored. This work introduces a novel benchmark evaluating LLMs' capacity to predict methodological details in AI research papers. We construct a dataset of 88 papers with redacted methodology sections and zero-shot prompt several state-of-the-art LLMs to generate methodology predictions. Our evaluation framework then employs a LLM-as-judge system with multiple LLM judges, majority voting, and self-omission techniques to minimize biases. We validate our LLM judge scores against human judgments. We then briefly analyze the judging results of our zero-shot prediction pipeline, suggesting that even state-of-the-art LLMs struggle with the task of methodology generation without more advanced techniques. This benchmark lays the groundwork for future research into evaluating LLMs' potential for aiding in AI research.

FrontierScience Bench: Evaluating AI Research Capabilities in LLMs

The rapid advancement of large language models (LLMs) has significantly enhanced the capabilities of agents across various tasks. However, existing agentic systems, whether based on fixed pipeline algorithms or pre-defined meta-learning frameworks, cannot search the whole agent design space due to the restriction of human-designed components, and thus might miss the more optimal agent design. In this paper, we introduce Gödel Agent, a self-evolving framework inspired by the \godel machine, enabling agents to recursively improve themselves without relying on predefined routines or fixed optimization algorithms. Gödel Agent leverages LLMs to dynamically modify its own logic and behavior, guided solely by high-level objectives through prompting. Experimental results on multiple domains demonstrate that implementation of Gödel Agent can achieve continuous self-improvement, surpassing manually crafted agents in performance, efficiency, and generalizability.

Gödel Agent: A Self-Referential Agent Framework for Recursively Self-Improvement

We present a scalable pipeline for automatically generating high-quality training data for web agents. In particular, a major challenge in identifying high-quality training instances is trajectory evaluation - quantifying how much progress was made towards task completion. We introduce a novel constraint-based evaluation framework that provides fine-grained assessment of progress towards task completion. This enables us to leverage partially successful trajectories, which significantly expands the amount of usable training data. We evaluate our method on a new benchmark we propose called BookingArena, which consists of complex booking tasks across 20 popular websites, and demonstrate that our distilled student model outperforms open-source approaches and matches or exceeds commercial systems, while being a significantly smaller model. Our work addresses the challenge of efficiently creating diverse, realistic web interaction datasets and provides a systematic evaluation methodology for complex structured web tasks.

Scaling Web Agent Training through Automatic Data Generation and Fine-grained Evaluation

This study proposes VisTRA (Visual Tool-use Reasoning Analyzer), a framework for analyzing how Visual Language Models (VLMs) utilize tools in VQA tasks involving small objects in high-resolution images. While tools like object detection and zoom functionality are essential for small object VQA, their potential errors necessitate careful verification of outputs. Our framework provides systematic evaluation of VLMs' tool-use capabilities through analysis of verification patterns. Using the V* bench dataset, we find that direct acceptance of tool outputs correlates with decreased VQA accuracy, while lower-performing models exhibit higher frequencies of cyclic verification loops. These findings offer insights for improving tool verification mechanisms in VLM architectures focused on small object detection tasks.

VisTRA: Visual Tool-use Reasoning Analyzer for Small Object Visual Question Answering

Differential Diagnosis (DDx) is a fundamental yet complex aspect of clinical decision-making, in which physicians iteratively refine a ranked list of possible diseases based on symptoms, antecedents, and medical knowledge. While recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have shown promise in supporting DDx, existing approaches face key limitations, including single-dataset evaluations, isolated optimization of components, unrealistic assumptions about complete patient profiles, and single-attempt diagnosis. We introduce a Modular Explainable DDx Agent (MEDDxAgent) framework designed for interactive DDx, where diagnostic reasoning evolves through iterative learning, rather than assuming a complete patient profile is accessible. MEDDxAgent integrates three modular components: (1) an orchestrator (DDxDriver), (2) a history taking simulator, and (3) two specialized agents for knowledge retrieval and diagnosis strategy. To ensure robust evaluation, we introduce a comprehensive DDx benchmark covering respiratory, skin, and rare diseases. We analyze single-turn diagnostic approaches and demonstrate the importance of iterative refinement when patient profiles are not available at the outset. Our broad evaluation demonstrates that MEDDxAgent achieves over 10% accuracy improvements in interactive DDx across both large and small LLMs, while offering critical explainability into its diagnostic reasoning process.

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