Austria

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown remarkable performance across diverse tasks without domain-specific training, fueling interest in their potential for time-series forecasting. While LLMs have shown potential in zero-shot forecasting through prompting alone, recent studies suggest that LLMs lack inherent effectiveness in forecasting. Given these conflicting findings, a rigorous validation is essential for drawing reliable conclusions. In this paper, we evaluate the effectiveness of LLMs as zero-shot forecasters compared to state-of-the-art domain-specific models. Our experiments show that LLM-based zero-shot forecasters often struggle to achieve high accuracy due to their sensitivity to noise, underperforming even simple domain-specific models. We have explored solutions to reduce LLMs&#39; sensitivity to noise in the zero-shot setting, but improving their robustness remains a significant challenge. Our findings suggest that rather than emphasizing zero-shot forecasting, a more promising direction would be to focus on fine-tuning LLMs to better process numerical sequences. Our experimental code is available at https://github.com/junwoopark92/revisiting-LLMs-zeroshot-forecaster.

ACL 2025

Revisiting LLMs as Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters: Small Noise Can Break Large Models

zero-shot time-series

time-series forecasting

llms

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Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown remarkable performance across diverse tasks without domain-specific training, fueling interest in their potential for time-series forecasting. While LLMs have shown potential in zero-shot forecasting through prompting alone, recent studies suggest that LLMs lack inherent effectiveness in forecasting. Given these conflicting findings, a rigorous validation is essential for drawing reliable conclusions. In this paper, we evaluate the effectiveness of LLMs as zero-shot forecasters compared to state-of-the-art domain-specific models. Our experiments show that LLM-based zero-shot forecasters often struggle to achieve high accuracy due to their sensitivity to noise, underperforming even simple domain-specific models. We have explored solutions to reduce LLMs' sensitivity to noise in the zero-shot setting, but improving their robustness remains a significant challenge. Our findings suggest that rather than emphasizing zero-shot forecasting, a more promising direction would be to focus on fine-tuning LLMs to better process numerical sequences. Our experimental code is available at https://github.com/junwoopark92/revisiting-LLMs-zeroshot-forecaster.

technical paper

### Welcome to The 63rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL 2025)

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*It is my great pleasure and honor to welcome you to the 63rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL 2025), held in beautiful Vienna, Austria, from July 27 to August 1, 2025. ACL2025continues our field’s tradition of excellence in scholarship, innovation, and inclusivity, and I am deeply grateful to the many volunteers who have worked tirelessly to bring this event to life.* 
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Welcome to The 63rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL 2025)

Radiology Report Generation (RRG) is an important research topic for relieving radiologists' heavy workload. Existing RRG models mainly rely on supervised fine-tuning (SFT) based on different model architectures using data pairs of radiological images and corresponding radiologist-annotated reports. Recent research has shifted focus to post-training improvements, aligning RRG model outputs with human preferences using reinforcement learning (RL). However, the limited data coverage of high-quality annotated data poses risks of overfitting and generalization. This paper proposes a novel Online Iterative Self-Alignment (OISA) method for RRG that consists of four stages: self-generation of diverse data, self-evaluation for multi-objective preference data, self-alignment for multi-objective optimization and self-iteration for further improvement. Our approach allows for generating varied reports tailored to specific clinical objectives, enhancing the overall performance of the RRG model iteratively. Unlike existing methods, our framework significantly increases data quality and optimizes performance through iterative multi-objective optimization. Experimental results demonstrate that our method surpasses previous approaches, achieving state-of-the-art performance across multiple evaluation metrics.

Online Iterative Self-Alignment for Radiology Report Generation

Large language models (LLMs) have encoded vast amounts of knowledge in their parameters, but the acquired knowledge can sometimes be incorrect or outdated over time, necessitating rectification after pre-training. Traditional localized methods in knowledge-based model editing (KME) typically assume that knowledge is stored in particular intermediate layers. However, recent research suggests that these methods do not identify the optimal locations for parameter editing, as knowledge gradually accumulates across all layers in LLMs during the forward pass rather than being stored in specific layers. This paper, for the first time, introduces the concept of critical transmission paths into KME for parameter updating. Specifically, these paths capture the key information flows that significantly influence the model predictions for the editing process. To facilitate this process, we also design a parameter-aware contrastive rectifying algorithm that considers less important paths as contrastive examples. Experiments on two prominent datasets and three widely used LLMs demonstrate the superiority of our method in editing performance.

Parameter-Aware Contrastive Knowledge Editing: Tracing and Rectifying based on Critical Transmission Paths

The rapid advancement of scientific progress requires innovative tools that can accelerate knowledge discovery. Although recent AI methods, particularly large language models (LLMs), have shown promise in tasks such as hypothesis generation and experimental design, they fall short of replicating the collaborative nature of real-world scientific practices, where diverse experts work together in teams to tackle complex problems. To address the limitations, we propose an LLM-based multi-agent system, i.e., Virtual Scientists (VIRSCI), designed to mimic the teamwork inherent in scientific research. VIRSCI organizes a team of agents to collaboratively generate, evaluate, and refine research ideas. Through comprehensive experiments, we demonstrate that this multi-agent approach outperforms the state-of-the-art method in producing novel scientific ideas. We further investigate the collaboration mechanisms that contribute to its tendency to produce ideas with higher novelty, offering valuable insights to guide future research and illuminating pathways toward building a robust system for autonomous scientific discovery. The code is available at https://github.com/open-sciencelab/Virtual-Scientists.

Many Heads Are Better Than One: Improved Scientific Idea Generation by A LLM-Based Multi-Agent System

Rumor detection on social media has become an emerging topic. Traditional deep learning-based methods model rumors based on content, propagation structure, or user behavior, but these approaches are constrained by limited modeling capacity and insufficient training corpora. Recent studies have explored using LLMs for rumor detection through supervised fine-tuning (SFT), but face two issues: 1) unreliable samples sometimes mislead the model learning; 2) the model only learns the most salient input-output mapping and skips in-depth analyses of the rumored content for convenience. To address these issues, we propose an SFT-based LLM rumor detection model with Influence guided Sample selection and Game-based multi-perspective Analysis (ISGA). Specifically, we first introduce the Influence Score (IS) to assess the impact of samples on model predictions and select samples for SFT. We also approximate IS via Taylor expansion to reduce computational complexity. Next, we use LLMs to generate in-depth analyses of news content from multiple perspectives and model their collaborative process for prediction as a cooperative game. Then we utilize the Shapley value to quantify the contribution of each perspective for selecting informative perspective analyses. Experiments show that ISGA excels existing SOTA on three datasets.

LLM-based Rumor Detection via Influence Guided Sample Selection and Game-based Perspective Analysis

We introduce TestCase-Eval, a new benchmark for systematic evaluation of LLMs in test-case generation. TestCase-Eval includes 500 algorithm problems and 100,000 human-crafted solutions from the Codeforces platform. It focuses on two pivotal tasks: (1) Fault Coverage, which measures how well LLM-generated test sets probe diverse input scenarios and cover a wide range of potential failure modes. (2) Fault Exposure, which evaluates whether LLMs can craft a tailored test input that reveals a specific incorrect code implementation. We provide a comprehensive assessment of 19 state-of-the-art open-source and proprietary LLMs on TestCase-Eval, offering insights into their strengths and limitations in generating effective test cases for algorithm problems.

Can LLMs Generate High-Quality Test Cases for Algorithm Problems? TestCase-Eval: A Systematic Evaluation of Fault Coverage and Exposure

Large language models (LLMs) show potential in healthcare but often generate hallucinations, especially when handling unfamiliar information. In medication, a systematic benchmark to evaluate model capabilities is lacking, which is critical given the high-risk nature of medical information. This paper introduces a Chinese benchmark aimed at assessing models in medication tasks, focusing on knowledge and reasoning across six datasets: indication, dosage and administration, contraindicated population, mechanisms of action, drug recommendation, and drug interaction. We evaluate eight closed-source and five open-source models to identify knowledge boundaries, providing the first systematic analysis of limitations and risks in proprietary medical models.

Should I Believe in What Medical AI Says? A Chinese Benchmark for Medication Based on Knowledge and Reasoning

Detecting deception in an increasingly digital world is both a critical and challenging task. In this study, we present a comprehensive evaluation of the automated deception detection capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) and Large Multimodal Models (LMMs) across diverse domains. We assess the performance of both open-source and proprietary LLMs on three distinct datasets—real-life trial interviews (RLTD), instructed deception in interpersonal scenarios (MU3D), and deceptive reviews (OpSpam). We systematically analyze the effectiveness of different experimental setups for deception detection, including zero-shot and few-shot approaches with random or similarity-based in-context example selection. Our findings indicate that fine-tuned LLMs achieve state-of-the-art performance on textual deception detection, whereas LMMs struggle to fully leverage multimodal cues, particularly in real-world settings. Additionally, we analyze the impact of auxiliary features, such as non-verbal gestures, video summaries, and evaluate the effectiveness of different prompting
strategies, such as direct label generation and post-hoc reasoning generation. Experiments unfold that reasoning-based predictions do not consistently improve performance over direct classification, contrary to the expectations.

Hidden in Plain Sight: Evaluation of the Deception Detection Capabilities of LLMs in Multimodal Settings

Weakly supervised video anomaly detection (WSVAD) presents a challenging task focused on detecting frame-level anomalies using only video-level labels. However, existing methods focus mainly on visual modalities, neglecting rich multi-modality information. This paper proposes a novel framework, Cross-Modality Heterogeneous Knowledge Fusion (CMHKF), that integrates cross-modality knowledge from video, audio, and text to improve anomaly detection and localization. To achieve adaptive cross-modality heterogeneous knowledge learning, we designed two components: Cross-Modality Video-Text Knowledge Alignment (CVKA) and Audio Modality Feature Adaptive Extraction (AFAE). They extract and aggregate features by exploring inter-modality correlations. By leveraging abundant cross-modality knowledge, our approach improves the discrimination between normal and anomalous segments. Extensive experiments on XD-Violence show our method significantly enhances accuracy and robustness in both coarse-grained and fine-grained anomaly detection.

CMHKF: Cross-Modality Heterogeneous Knowledge Fusion for Weakly Supervised Video Anomaly Detection

Low-resource taxonomy completion aims to automatically insert new concepts into
the existing taxonomy, in which only a few in-domain training samples are available. Recent studies have achieved considerable progress by incorporating prior knowledge from pre-trained language models (PLMs). However, these studies tend to overly rely on such knowledge and neglect the shareable knowledge across different taxonomies. In this paper, we propose TaxoPro, a plug-in LoRA-based cross-domain method, that captures shareable knowledge from the high-resource taxonomy to improve PLM-based low-resource taxonomy completion techniques. To prevent negative interference between domain-specific and domain-shared knowledge, TaxoPro decomposes cross-domain knowledge into domain-shared and domain-specific components, storing them using low-rank matrices (LoRA). Additionally, TaxoPro employs two auxiliary losses to regulate the flow of shareable knowledge. Experimental results demonstrate that TaxoPro improves PLM-based techniques, achieving state-of-the-art performance in completing low-resource taxonomies.

TaxoPro: A Plug-In LoRA-based Cross-Domain Method for Low-Resource Taxonomy Completion

Social biases can manifest in language agency. However, very limited research has investigated such biases in Large Language Model (LLM)-generated content. In addition, previous works often rely on string-matching techniques to identify agentic and communal words within texts, falling short of accurately classifying language agency. We introduce the Language Agency Bias Evaluation (LABE) benchmark, which comprehensively evaluates biases in LLMs by analyzing agency levels attributed to different demographic groups in model generations. LABE tests for gender, racial, and intersectional language agency biases in LLMs on 3 text generation tasks: biographies, professor reviews, and reference letters. Using LABE, we unveil language agency social biases in 3 recent LLMs: ChatGPT, Llama3, and Mistral. We observe that: (1) LLM generations tend to demonstrate greater gender bias than human-written texts; (2) Models demonstrate remarkably higher levels of intersectional bias than the other bias aspects. (3) Prompt-based mitigation is unstable and frequently leads to bias exacerbation. Based on our observations, we propose Mitigation via Selective Rewrite (MSR), a novel bias mitigation strategy that leverages an agency classifier to identify and selectively revise parts of generated texts that demonstrate communal traits. Empirical results prove MSR to be more effective and reliable than prompt-based mitigation method, showing a promising research direction.

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Online Iterative Self-Alignment for Radiology Report Generation

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