Austria

Typically, when evaluating Theory of Mind, we consider the beliefs of others to be binary: held or not held. But what if someone is unsure about their own beliefs? How can we quantify this uncertainty? We propose a new suite of tasks, challenging language models (LMs) to model the uncertainty of participants in a dialogue. We design these tasks around conversation forecasting, where the goal is to predict the probability of an unobserved conversation outcome. Uniquely, we view conversation agents themselves as forecasters, asking an LM to predict the uncertainty of an individual from their language use. We experiment with scaling methods, bagging, and demographic context for this regression task, conducting experiments on three dialogue corpora (social, negotiation, task-oriented) with eight LMs. While LMs can explain up to 7% variance in the uncertainty of others, we highlight the difficulty of the tasks and room for future work, especially in tasks that require explicit shifts in perspective.

ACL 2025

Evaluating Theory of (an uncertain) Mind: Predicting the Uncertain Beliefs of Others from Conversational Cues

conversation forecasting

theory of mind

uncertainty

language models

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ACL 2024

The 62nd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL 2024) will take place in Bangkok, Thailand from August 11th to 16th, 2024. More information will be announced soon.

technical paper

### Welcome to The 63rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL 2025)

Message from the General Chair: 
*It is my great pleasure and honor to welcome you to the 63rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL 2025), held in beautiful Vienna, Austria, from July 27 to August 1, 2025. ACL2025continues our field’s tradition of excellence in scholarship, innovation, and inclusivity, and I am deeply grateful to the many volunteers who have worked tirelessly to bring this event to life.* 
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Welcome to The 63rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL 2025)

Understanding uncertainty in causality is vital in various domains, including core NLP tasks like event causality extraction, commonsense reasoning, and counterfactual text generation. However, existing literature lacks a comprehensive examination of this area. This survey aims to fill this gap by thoroughly reviewing uncertainty in causality. We first introduce a novel trichotomy, categorizing causal uncertainty into aleatoric (inherent randomness in causal data), epistemic (causal model limitations), and ontological (existence of causal links) uncertainty. We then survey methods for quantifying uncertainty in causal analysis and highlight the complementary relationship between causal uncertainty and causal strength. Furthermore, we examine the challenges that large language models (LLMs) face in handling causal uncertainty, such as hallucinations and inconsistencies, and propose key traits for an optimal causal LLM. Our paper reviews current approaches and outlines future research directions, aiming to serve as a practical guide for researchers and practitioners in this emerging field.

Uncertainty in Causality: A New Frontier

Factuality evaluation aims to detect factual errors produced by language models (LMs) and hence guide the development of more factual models. Towards this goal, we train a factuality evaluator, FenCE, that provides LM generators with claim-level factuality feedback. In particular, we train FenCE to (1) generate textual critiques along with scores and (2) make claim-level judgment based on diverse source documents obtained by various tools, via data augmentation on a combination of public judgment datasets. We then present a framework that leverages FenCE to improve the factuality of LM generators by constructing training data. Specifically, we generate a set of candidate responses, ask FenCE to revise and score each response without introducing lesser-known facts, and train the generator by preferring highly scored revised responses. Experiments show that our data augmentation methods improve the evaluator’s accuracy by 2.9% on LLM-AggreFact. With FenCE, we improve Llama2-7B-chat/Llama3-8B-chat’s factuality rate by 16.86%/14.45% on FActScore, outperforming state-of-the-art factuality finetuning methods by 8.83%/6.96%.

Improving Model Factuality with Fine-grained Critique-based Evaluator

Autonomous agents powered by large vision and language models (VLM) have demonstrated significant potential in completing daily computer tasks, such as browsing the web to book travel and operating desktop software, which requires agents to understand these interfaces. Despite such visual inputs becoming more integrated into agentic applications, what types of risks and attacks exist around them still remain unclear. In this work, we demonstrate that VLM agents can be easily attacked by a set of carefully designed adversarial pop-ups, which human users would typically recognize and ignore. This distraction leads agents to click these pop-ups instead of performing their tasks as usual. Integrating these pop-ups into existing agent testing environments like OSWorld and VisualWebArena leads to an attack success rate (the frequency of the agent clicking the pop-ups) of 86% on average and decreases the task success rate by 47%. Basic defense techniques, such as asking the agent to ignore pop-ups or including an advertisement notice, are ineffective against the attack. Code is available at [this link](https://github.com/SALT-NLP/PopupAttack).

Attacking Vision-Language Computer Agents via Pop-ups

Code localization--identifying precisely where in a codebase changes need to be made--is a fundamental yet challenging task in software maintenance. Existing approaches struggle to efficiently navigate complex codebases when identifying relevant code snippets.
The challenge lies in bridging natural language problem descriptions with the target code elements, often requiring reasoning across hierarchical structures and multiple dependencies.
We introduce \textsc{LocAgent}, a framework that addresses code localization through a graph-guided agent.
By parsing codebases into directed heterogeneous graphs, \textsc{LocAgent} creates a lightweight representation that captures code structures and their dependencies, enabling LLM agents to effectively search and locate relevant entities through powerful multi-hop reasoning.
Experimental results on real-world benchmarks demonstrate that our approach significantly enhances accuracy in code localization.
Notably, our method with the fine-tuned \texttt{Qwen-2.5-Coder-Instruct-32B} model achieves comparable results to SOTA proprietary models at greatly reduced cost (approximately 86\% reduction), reaching up to 92.7\% accuracy on file-level localization while improving downstream GitHub issue resolution success rates by 12\% for multiple attempts (Pass@10). Our code is available at \url{https://github.com/gersteinlab/LocAgent}.

LocAgent: Agentic Code Localization with Graph-Based Indexing

Chinese, as a linguistic system rich in depth and complexity, is characterized by distinctive elements such as ancient poetry, proverbs, idioms, and other cultural constructs. However, current Large Language Models (LLMs) face limitations in these specialized domains, highlighting the need for the development of comprehensive datasets that can assess, continuously update, and progressively improve these culturally-grounded linguistic competencies through targeted training optimizations. To address this gap, we introduce CKnowEdit, the first-ever Chinese knowledge editing dataset designed to correct linguistic, factual, and logical errors in LLMs. We collect seven types of knowledge from a wide range of sources, including classical texts, idioms, and content from Baidu Tieba Ruozhiba, taking into account the unique polyphony, antithesis, and logical structures inherent in the Chinese language. By analyzing this dataset, we highlight the challenges current LLMs face in mastering Chinese. Furthermore, our evaluation of state-of-the-art knowledge editing techniques reveals opportunities to advance the correction of Chinese knowledge.

CKnowEdit: A New Chinese Knowledge Editing Dataset for Linguistics, Facts, and Logic Error Correction in LLMs

Traditional supervised fine-tuning (SFT) strategies for sequence-to-sequence tasks often train models to directly generate the target output. Recent work has shown that guiding models with intermediate steps—such as keywords, outlines, or reasoning chains—can significantly improve performance, coherence, and interpretability. However, these methods often depend on predefined intermediate formats and annotated data, limiting their scalability and generalizability. In this work, we introduce a task-agnostic framework that enables models to generate intermediate ``warmup'' sequences. These warmup sequences, serving as an initial state for subsequent generation, are optimized to enhance the probability of generating the target sequence without relying on external supervision or human-designed structures. Drawing inspiration from reinforcement learning principles, our method iteratively refines these intermediate steps to maximize their contribution to the final output, similar to reward-driven optimization in reinforcement learning with human feedback. Experimental results across tasks such as translation, summarization, and multi-choice question answering for logical reasoning show that our approach outperforms traditional SFT methods, and offers a scalable and flexible solution for sequence-to-sequence tasks.

Warmup Generations: A Task-Agnostic Approach for Guiding Sequence-to-Sequence Learning with Unsupervised Initial State Generation

In psychological practice, standardized questionnaires serve as essential tools for assessing mental health through structured, clinically-validated questions (i.e., items). While social media platforms offer rich data for mental health screening, computational approaches often bypass these established clinical assessment tools in favor of black-box classification. We propose a novel questionnaire-guided screening framework that bridges psychological practice and computational methods through adaptive Retrieval-Augmented Generation (aRAG). Our approach links unstructured social media content and standardized clinical assessments by retrieving relevant posts for each questionnaire item and using Large Language Models (LLMs) to complete validated psychological instruments. Our findings demonstrate two key advantages of questionnaire-guided screening: First, when completing the Beck Depression Inventory-II (BDI-II), our approach matches or outperforms state-of-the-art performance on Reddit-based benchmarks without requiring training data. Second, we show that guiding LLMs through standardized questionnaires yields superior results compared to directly prompting them for depression screening. Additionally, we show as a proof-of-concept how our questionnaire-based methodology successfully extends to self-harm screening.

Are LLMs effective psychological assessors? Leveraging adaptive RAG for interpretable mental health screening through psychometric practice

Faced with an expensive human annotation process, creators of NLP systems increasingly turn to synthetic data generation. While this method shows promise, the extent to which synthetic data can replace human annotation is poorly understood. We investigate the use of synthetic data in Fact Verification (FV) and Evidence-based Question Answering (QA) by incrementally replacing human-generated data with synthetic points on eight diverse datasets. Strikingly, replacing up to 90% of the training data only marginally decreases performance, but replacing the final 10% leads to severe declines. We find that models trained on purely synthetic data can be improved by including as few as 125 human-generated data points. We show that matching the performance gain of a little human data requires an order of magnitude more synthetic data, and then estimate price ratios at which human annotation would be a more cost-effective solution. Our results suggest that even when human annotation at scale is infeasible, there is great value to having a small proportion of the dataset being human-generated.

A Little Human Data Goes A Long Way

Fine-tuning is widely recognized as a crucial process for aligning large language models (LLMs) with human intentions. However, the substantial memory requirements associated with fine-tuning pose a significant barrier to extending the applicability of LLMs. While parameter-efficient fine-tuning can be a promising approach by reducing trainable parameters, intermediate activations still need to be cached to compute gradients during the backward pass, thereby limiting overall memory efficiency. In this work, we propose Saliency-Guided Gradient Flow (SAGE), a memory-efficient fine-tuning method designed to minimize the memory specifically associated with cached intermediate activations. The key strategy is to selectively cache activations based on their saliency during the forward pass and then use these activations for the backward pass. This process transforms the dense backward pass into a sparse one, thereby enhancing memory efficiency. To verify whether SAGE can serve as an efficient alternative for fine-tuning, we conduct comprehensive experiments across diverse fine-tuning scenarios and setups. The experimental results show that SAGE substantially improves memory efficiency without a significant loss in accuracy, highlighting its broad value in real-world applications

Forward Knows Efficient Backward Path: Saliency-Guided Memory-Efficient Fine-tuning of Large Language Models

Medical Large Vision-Language Models (Med-LVLMs) often exhibit suboptimal attention distribution on visual inputs, leading to hallucinated or inaccurate outputs. Existing methods primarily rely on inference-time interventions, which are limited in attention adaptation or require additional supervision. To address this, we propose A$^3$Tune, a novel fine-tuning framework for Automatic Attention Alignment Tuning. A
Tune leverages zero-shot weak labels from SAM, refines them into prompt-aware labels using BioMedCLIP, and then selectively modifies visually-critical attention heads to improve alignment while minimizing interference. Additionally, we introduce a A$^3$MoE module, enabling adaptive parameter selection for attention tuning across diverse prompts and images. Extensive experiments on medical VQA and report generation benchmarks show that A$^3$Tune outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, achieving enhanced attention distributions and performance in Med-LVLMs.

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Uncertainty in Causality: A New Frontier

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