Canada

Indirect surveys, in which respondents provide information about other people they know, have been proposed for estimating (nowcasting) the size of a hidden population where privacy is important or the hidden population is hard to reach. Examples include estimating casualties in an earthquake, conditions among female sex workers, and the prevalence of drug use and infectious diseases. The Network Scale-up Method (NSUM) is the classical approach to developing estimates from indirect surveys, but it was designed for one-shot surveys. Further, it requires certain assumptions and asking for or estimating the number of individuals in each respondent&#39;s network. In recent years, surveys have been increasingly deployed online and can collect data continuously (e.g., COVID-19 surveys on Facebook during much of the pandemic). Conventional NSUM can be applied to these scenarios by analyzing the data independently at each point in time, but this misses the opportunity of leveraging the temporal dimension. We propose to use the responses from indirect surveys collected over time and develop analytical tools (i)  to prove that indirect surveys can provide better estimates for the trends of the hidden population over time, as compared to direct surveys and (ii) to identify appropriate temporal aggregations to improve the estimates. We demonstrate through extensive simulations that our approach outperforms traditional NSUM and direct surveying methods. We also empirically demonstrate the superiority of our approach on a real indirect survey dataset of COVID-19 cases.

AAAI 2024

Nowcasting Temporal Trends Using Indirect Surveys

indirect surveys

time-series nowcasting

estimation

## Welcome to 2024 Annual Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics!
This year, the conference is in Mexico City. NAACL was actually already planned for Mexico City in 2021, but due to the pandemic the entire conference was moved online. This year, finally, we get to go! So it is my sincere pleasure to welcome you to Mexico City, whether in person or virtually. Having the conference in Mexico City is a good opportunity to emphasize that NAACL is our flagship conference for ACL members not only in North America but also in Central and South America, even though NAACL has been bearing “North” in its name. At this year’s conference, we have a theme to match, with a theme track on the Languages of Latin America to showcase the linguistic diversity of the region.
 
The opportunity to present at NAACL should not depend on a researcher’s travel budget, or their family status. This is why it is so important to make virtual participation at NAACL as good an experience as possible – but we want to also provide a good experience for in-person participants. As a community, we are still working out the best way to do that. This year at NAACL, we are trying out a big virtual poster session ahead of the conference, with the hope that this will make make for a lively and interactive experience. At the same time, we are reducing virtual oral presentations, which seem to be particularly tricky to make to work well. A big thanks to the NAACL program chairs and to Luciana Benotti for all their ideas and work to improve the virtual experience. And participants, virtual as well as in-person: Please let us know what worked for you and what didn’t, so we can continue to improve hybrid conferences. 
 
I have been lucky to work with many amazing people. Without their insight, dedication and patience, and without the many hours of work they put in, NAACL would not have been possible. A huge thank you to the program chairs Helena Gomez, Kevin Duh, and Steve Bethard – you are the best! 
 
Finally, I would like to thank all authors, invited speakers and panelists, area chairs and reviewers, the volunteers organizing and chairing sessions, and all attendees, in-person and virtual. Thank you for helping us make NAACL 2024 come to life. 
 
Welcome and hope you all enjoy the conference! 
Katrin Erk 
The University of Texas at Austin 
NAACL-2024 General Chair 
*You can read the full Welcome message in the [Conference Handbook (downloadable)](https://drive.google.com/file/d/1H1NvW0VASQjkSCYgw3mr-3l4yYDSxz6B/view?usp=sharing)*

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NAACL 2024

2024 Annual Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics

Indirect surveys, in which respondents provide information about other people they know, have been proposed for estimating (nowcasting) the size of a hidden population where privacy is important or the hidden population is hard to reach. Examples include estimating casualties in an earthquake, conditions among female sex workers, and the prevalence of drug use and infectious diseases. The Network Scale-up Method (NSUM) is the classical approach to developing estimates from indirect surveys, but it was designed for one-shot surveys. Further, it requires certain assumptions and asking for or estimating the number of individuals in each respondent's network. In recent years, surveys have been increasingly deployed online and can collect data continuously (e.g., COVID-19 surveys on Facebook during much of the pandemic). Conventional NSUM can be applied to these scenarios by analyzing the data independently at each point in time, but this misses the opportunity of leveraging the temporal dimension. We propose to use the responses from indirect surveys collected over time and develop analytical tools (i)  to prove that indirect surveys can provide better estimates for the trends of the hidden population over time, as compared to direct surveys and (ii) to identify appropriate temporal aggregations to improve the estimates. We demonstrate through extensive simulations that our approach outperforms traditional NSUM and direct surveying methods. We also empirically demonstrate the superiority of our approach on a real indirect survey dataset of COVID-19 cases.

technical paper

We are pleased to announce the Thirty-Eighth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-24), which will be held in Vancouver, British Columbia at the Vancouver Convention Centre – West Building from 20-27 February, 2024.

The purpose of the AAAI conference series is to promote research in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and foster scientific exchange between researchers, practitioners, scientists, students, and engineers across the entirety of AI and its affiliated disciplines. AAAI-24 will feature technical paper presentations, special tracks, invited speakers, workshops, tutorials, poster sessions, senior member presentations, competitions, and exhibit programs, and a range of other activities to be announced.

We expect for AAAI-24 to be an in-person conference – one author of all accepted papers will be expected to present work in person unless there are exceptional circumstances that prevent this.

In order to access the AAAI-24 event page you need to register [here](https://aaai.org/aaai-conference/registration/)

The purpose of the AAAI conference series is to promote research in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and foster scientific exchange between researchers, practitioners, scientists, students, and engineers across the entirety of AI and its affiliated disciplines. 

Many individuals are likely to face a legal dispute at some point in their lives, but their lack of understanding of how to navigate these complex issues often renders them vulnerable. The advancement of natural language processing opens new avenues for bridging this legal literacy gap through the development of automated legal aid systems. However, existing legal question answering (LQA) approaches often suffer from a narrow scope, being either confined to specific legal domains or limited to brief, uninformative responses. In this work, we propose an end-to-end methodology designed to generate long-form answers to any statutory law questions, utilizing a "retrieve-then-read" pipeline. To support this approach, we introduce and release the Long-form Legal Question Answering (LLeQA) dataset, comprising 1,868 expert-annotated legal questions in the French language, complete with detailed answers rooted in pertinent legal provisions. Our experimental results demonstrate promising performance on automatic evaluation metrics, but a qualitative analysis uncovers areas for refinement. As one of the only comprehensive, expert-annotated long-form LQA dataset, LLeQA has the potential to not only accelerate research towards resolving a significant real-world issue, but also act as a rigorous benchmark for evaluating NLP models in specialized domains. We publicly release our code, data, and models.

Interpretable Long-Form Legal Question Answering with Retrieval-Augmented Large Language Models

Predictive analytics has been widely used in various domains, including education, to inform decision-making and improve outcomes. However, many predictive models are proprietary and inaccessible for evaluation or modification by researchers and practitioners, limiting their accountability and ethical design. Moreover, predictive models are often opaque and incomprehensible to the officials who use them, reducing their trust and utility. Furthermore, predictive models may introduce or exacerbate bias and inequity, as they have done in many sectors of society. Therefore, there is a need for transparent, interpretable, and fair predictive models that can be easily adopted and adapted by different stakeholders. In this paper, we propose a fair predictive model based on multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) that incorporates fairness measures in the learning process. MARS is a non-parametric regression model that performs feature selection, handles non-linear relationships, generates interpretable decision rules, and derives optimal splitting criteria on the variables. Specifically, we integrate fairness into the knot optimization algorithm and provide theoretical and empirical evidence of how it results in a fair knot placement. We apply our fair MARS model to real-world data and demonstrate its effectiveness in terms of accuracy and equity. Our paper contributes to the advancement of responsible and ethical predictive analytics for social good.

FairMARS: A Statistical Model That Prioritizes Equity and Transparency | VIDEO

Lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide, and early diagnosis of lung cancer is critical for improving the survival rate of patients. Performing annual low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening among high-risk populations is the primary approach for early diagnosis. However, after each screening, whether to continue monitoring (with follow-up screenings) or to order a biopsy for diagnosis remains a challenging decision to make. Continuing with follow-up screenings may lead to delayed diagnosis but ordering a biopsy without sufficient evidence incurs unnecessary risk and cost. In this paper, we tackle the problem by an optimal stopping approach. Our proposed algorithm, called EarlyStop-RL, utilizes the structure of the Snell envelope for optimal stopping, and model-free deep reinforcement learning for making diagnosis decisions. Through evaluating our algorithm on a commonly used clinical trial dataset (the National Lung Screening Trial), we demonstrate that EarlyStop-RL has the potential to greatly enhance risk assessment and early diagnosis of lung cancer, surpassing the performance of two widely adopted clinical models, namely the Lung-RADS and the Brock model.

Deep Reinforcement Learning for Early Diagnosis of Lung Cancer

Rental assistance programs provide individuals with financial assistance to prevent housing instabilities caused by evictions and avert homelessness. Since these programs operate under resource constraints, they must decide who to prioritize. Typically, funding is distributed by a reactive allocation process that does not systematically consider risk of future homelessness. We partnered with Anonymous County (PA) to explore a proactive and preventative allocation approach that prioritizes individuals facing eviction based on their risk of future homelessness. Our ML models, trained on state and county administrative data accurately identify at-risk individuals, outperforming simpler prioritization approaches by at least 20% while meeting our equity and fairness goals across race and gender. Furthermore, our approach would reach 28% of individuals who are overlooked by the current process and end up homeless. Beyond improvements to the rental assistance program in Anonymous County, this study can inform the development of evidence-based decision support tools in similar contexts, including lessons about data needs, model design, evaluation, and field validation.

Preventing Eviction-Caused Homelessness through ML-Informed Distribution of Rental Assistance

The ability of large language models (LLMs) to follow natural language instructions with human-level fluency suggests many opportunities in healthcare to reduce administrative burden and improve quality of care. However, evaluating LLMs on realistic text generation tasks for healthcare remains challenging. Existing question answering datasets for electronic health record (EHR) data fail to capture the complexity of information needs and documentation burdens experienced by clinicians. To address these challenges, we introduce MedAlign, a benchmark dataset of 983 natural language instructions for EHR data. MedAlign is curated by 15 clinicians (7 specialities), includes clinician-written reference responses for 303 instructions, and provides 276 longitudinal EHRs for grounding instruction-response pairs. We used MedAlign to evaluate 6 general domain LLMs, having clinicians rank the accuracy and quality of each LLM response. We found high error rates, ranging from 35% (GPT-4) to 68% (MPT-7B-Instruct), and 8.3% drop in accuracy moving from 32k to 2k context lengths for GPT-4. Finally, we report correlations between clinician rankings and automated natural language generation metrics as a way to rank LLMs without human review. We make MedAlign available under a research data use agreement to enable LLM evaluations on tasks aligned with clinician needs and preferences.

MedAlign: A Clinician-Generated Dataset for Instruction Following with Electronic Medical Records

Fingerprint authentication is a popular security mechanism for smartphones and laptops. However, its adoption in web and cloud environments has been limited due to privacy concerns over storing and processing biometric data on servers. This paper introduces Blind-Touch, a novel machine learning-based fingerprint authentication system that leverages homomorphic encryption to address these privacy concerns. Homomorphic encryption allows for computations on encrypted data without decrypting it. Therefore, Blind-Touch can keep fingerprint data encrypted on the server while performing machine learning operations. Blind-Touch integrates three techniques to address the computational challenges of using homomorphic encryption for machine learning: (1) A distributed machine learning architecture that divides inference tasks between the client and server, thereby reducing encrypted computations on the server; (2) A data compression method that reduces client-server communication costs; and (3) A cluster architecture that improves scalability with the number of registered users. Blind-Touch achieves high accuracy on two benchmark fingerprint datasets, with a 93.6% F1-score for the PolyU dataset and a 98.2% F1-score for the SOKOTO dataset. Moreover, Blind-Touch can match a fingerprint among 5,000 in about 0.65 seconds. With its privacy-focused design, high accuracy, and efficiency, Blind-Touch is a promising alternative to conventional fingerprint authentication for web and cloud applications.

Blind-Touch: Homomorphic Encryption-Based Distributed Neural Network Inference for Privacy-Preserving Fingerprint Authentication | VIDEO

With the widespread adoption of IoT, wearable devices, and sensors, time series data from human subjects are significantly increasing in the healthcare domain. Due to the laborious nature of manual annotation in time series data and the requirement for human experts, self-supervised learning methods are attempted to alleviate the limited label situations. While existing self-supervised methods have been successful to achieve comparable performance to the fully supervised methods, there are still some limitations that need to be addressed, considering the nature of time series data from human subjects: In real-world clinical settings, data labels (e.g., sleep stages) are usually annotated by subject-level, and there is a substantial variation in patterns between subjects. Thus, a model should be designed to deal with not only the label scarcity but also subject-wise nature of data to ensure high performance in real-world scenarios. To mitigate these issues, we propose a novel self-supervised learning framework for human subject time series data: Subject-Aware Time Series Clustering (SA-TSC). In the unsupervised representation learning phase, SA-TSC adopts a subject-wise learning strategy rather than instance-wise learning which randomly samples data instances from different subjects within the batch during training. Specifically, we generate subject-graphs with our graph construction method based on Gumbel-Softmax and perform graph spectral clustering on each subject-graph. In addition, we utilize graph neural networks to capture dependencies between channels and design our own graph learning module motivated from self-supervised loss. Experimental results show the outstanding performance of our SA-TSC with the limited & subject-wise label setting, leading to its high applicability to the healthcare industry. The code is available at: https://github.com/DILAB-HYU/SA-TSC

Self-Supervised Framework Based on Subject-Wise Clustering for Human Subject Time Series Data

Hate speech (HS) is a growing concern in many parts of
the world, including India, where it has led to numerous instances of violence and discrimination. The development of
effective counter-narratives (CNs) is a critical step in combating hate speech, but there is a lack of research in this
area, especially in non-English languages. In this paper, we
introduce a new dataset, IndicCONAN, of counter-narratives
against hate speech in Hindi and Indian English. We propose a scalable human-in-the-loop approach for generating counter-narratives by an auto-regressive language model
through machine generation - human correction cycle, where
the model uses augmented data from previous cycles to generate new training samples. These newly generated samples
are then reviewed and edited by annotators, leading to further
model refnement. The dataset consists of over 2,500 exam- ˜
ples of counter-narratives each in both English and Hindi corresponding to various hate speeches in the Indian context. We
also present a framework for generating CNs conditioned on
specifc CN type with a mean perplexity of 3.85 for English
and 3.70 for Hindi, a mean toxicity score of 0.04 for English
and 0.06 for Hindi, and a mean diversity of 0.08 for English
and 0.14 for Hindi. Our dataset and framework provide valuable resources for researchers and practitioners working to
combat hate speech in the Indian context.

IndicCONAN: A Multilingual Dataset for Combating Hate Speech in Indian Context

Diffusion models have shown their effectiveness in generation tasks by well-approximating the underlying probability distribution. However, diffusion models are known to suffer from an amplified inherent bias from the training data in terms of fairness. While the sampling process of diffusion models can be controlled by conditional guidance, previous works have attempted to find empirical guidance to achieve quantitative fairness. 
To address this limitation, we propose a fairness-aware sampling method called \textit{attribute switching} mechanism for diffusion models. Without additional training, the proposed sampling can obfuscate sensitive attributes in generated data without relying on classifiers.
We mathematically prove and experimentally demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method on two key aspects: (i) the generation of fair data and (ii) the preservation of the utility of the generated data.

Fair Sampling in Diffusion Models through Switching Mechanism

The rise of AI-based and autonomous systems is raising concerns and apprehension due to potential negative repercussions arising from their behavior or decisions. These systems must be designed to comply with the human contexts in which they will operate. To this extent, Townsend et al. (2022) introduce the concept of SLEEC (social, legal, ethical, empathetic, or cultural) rules that aim to facilitate the formulation, verification, and enforcement of the rules AI-based and autonomous systems should obey. They lay out a methodology to elicit them and to let philosophers, lawyers, domain experts, and others to formulate them in natural language. To enable their effective use in AI systems, it is necessary to translate these rules systematically into a formal language that supports automated reasoning. In this study, we first conduct a linguistic analysis of the SLEEC rules pattern, which justifies the translation of SLEEC rules into classical logic. Then we investigate the computational complexity of reasoning about SLEEC rules and show how logical programming frameworks can be employed to implement SLEEC rules in practical scenarios. the result is a readily applicable strategy for implementing AI systems that conform to norms expressed as SLEEC rules.

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