United States

Various types of machine learning techniques are available for analyzing electronic health records (EHRs). For predictive tasks, most existing methods either explicitly or implicitly divide these time-series datasets into predetermined observation and prediction windows. Patients have different lengths of medical history and the desired predictions (for purposes such as diagnosis or treatment) are required at different times in the future. In this paper, we propose a method that uses a sequence-to-sequence generator model to transfer an input sequence of EHR data to a sequence of user-defined target labels, providing the end-users with ``flexible&#39;&#39; observation and prediction windows to define. We use adversarial and semi-supervised approaches in our design, where the sequence-to-sequence model acts as a generator and a discriminator distinguishes between the actual (observed) and generated labels. We evaluate our models through an extensive series of experiments using two large EHR datasets from adult and pediatric populations. In an obesity predicting case study, we show that our model can achieve superior results in flexible-window prediction tasks, after being trained once and even with large missing rates on the input EHR data. Moreover, using a number of attention analysis experiments, we show that the proposed model can effectively learn more relevant features in different prediction tasks.

AAAI 2022

Flexible-Window Predictions on Electronic Health Records

We are pleased to announce the Thirty-Eighth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-24), which will be held in Vancouver, British Columbia at the Vancouver Convention Centre – West Building from 20-27 February, 2024.

The purpose of the AAAI conference series is to promote research in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and foster scientific exchange between researchers, practitioners, scientists, students, and engineers across the entirety of AI and its affiliated disciplines. AAAI-24 will feature technical paper presentations, special tracks, invited speakers, workshops, tutorials, poster sessions, senior member presentations, competitions, and exhibit programs, and a range of other activities to be announced.

We expect for AAAI-24 to be an in-person conference – one author of all accepted papers will be expected to present work in person unless there are exceptional circumstances that prevent this.<br><br><br><br>

In order to access the AAAI-24 event page you need to register [here](https://aaai.org/aaai-conference/registration/)

AAAI 2024

The purpose of the AAAI conference series is to promote research in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and foster scientific exchange between researchers, practitioners, scientists, students, and engineers across the entirety of AI and its affiliated disciplines. 

Various types of machine learning techniques are available for analyzing electronic health records (EHRs). For predictive tasks, most existing methods either explicitly or implicitly divide these time-series datasets into predetermined observation and prediction windows. Patients have different lengths of medical history and the desired predictions (for purposes such as diagnosis or treatment) are required at different times in the future. In this paper, we propose a method that uses a sequence-to-sequence generator model to transfer an input sequence of EHR data to a sequence of user-defined target labels, providing the end-users with ``flexible'' observation and prediction windows to define. We use adversarial and semi-supervised approaches in our design, where the sequence-to-sequence model acts as a generator and a discriminator distinguishes between the actual (observed) and generated labels. We evaluate our models through an extensive series of experiments using two large EHR datasets from adult and pediatric populations. In an obesity predicting case study, we show that our model can achieve superior results in flexible-window prediction tasks, after being trained once and even with large missing rates on the input EHR data. Moreover, using a number of attention analysis experiments, we show that the proposed model can effectively learn more relevant features in different prediction tasks.

technical paper

The purpose of the AAAI conference is to promote research in artificial intelligence (AI) and scientific exchange among AI researchers, practitioners, scientists, and engineers in affiliated disciplines. 

Webscale services dealing with sensitive content are increasingly being deployed in public and hybrid cloud environments. At the same time, the impact of security breaches have also increased manifold averaging at USD 3.86M per data breach. To tackle such increasing risks, regulations and security frameworks are defined that an organization must comply with. Most of these frameworks are published in natural language text that run into hundreds of pages resulting into thousands of requirements and controls. When these frameworks undergo revisions, understanding the changes, and interpreting their impact consumes huge amount of time, effort and resources.

In this paper, we propose a change management system that supports SMEs with AI-assisted automation of this extremely manual and time consuming activity. Specifically, we introduce the concept of live crosswalks â€“ a framework that models complex relationships among security and compliance documents along with associated operations to manage the change. It uses natural language processing (NLP) and algorithmic techniques to transform the current document-driven, highly manual process into a data-driven interactive intelligent system. We present the overall design and demonstrate its efficacy over several hundreds of diversified controls through experimental evaluation.

AI-Assisted Controls Change Management for Cybersecurity in the Cloud

Wind energy is an important source of renewable and sustainable energy and therefore an elementary component of any future energy supply. However, the operation of large wind farms places high demands on reliability and is often impacted by high maintenance and repair costs in the event of a failure. A frequency converter is one of the most important components of each wind turbine, which ensures that the frequency of the generated energy synchronises with the grid frequency and thus enables the flow of energy into the power grid. The detection of anomalies in these devices is complex due to the high frequency and multidimensionality of different sensor information from the energy control units and requires fault patterns to be discovered and detected in large time series. In this paper, we show how state-of-the-art self-supervised-learning techniques, namely LSTM autoencoders, can be successfully applied to real-world data. We describe the extensions we have made to deal with the often very noisy sensors and describe the construction of the training data set. The trained system was first tested and evaluated on synthetic data and subsequently on a large real-world data set. In both cases, it was shown that outliers can be reliably identified using our presented approach.

Outlier Detection in Wind Turbine Frequency Converters Using Long-Term Sensor Data

Predictive VM (Virtual Machine) auto-scaling is a promising technique to optimize cloud applications' operating costs and performance. Understanding the job arrival rate is crucial for accurately predicting future changes in cloud workloads and proactively provisioning and de-provisioning VMs for hosting the applications. However, developing a model that accurately predicts cloud workload changes is extremely challenging due to the dynamic nature of cloud workloads. Long- Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) models have been developed for cloud workload prediction. Unfortunately, the state-of-the-art LSTM model leverages recurrences to predict, which naturally adds complexity and increases the inference overhead as input sequences grow longer. To develop a cloud workload prediction model with high accuracy and low inference overhead, this work presents a novel time-series forecasting model called WGAN-gp Transformer, inspired by the Transformer network and improved Wasserstein-GANs. The proposed method adopts a Transformer network as a generator and a multi-layer perceptron as a critic. The extensive evaluations with real-world workload traces show WGAN- gp Transformer achieves 5Ã— faster inference time with up to 5.1% higher prediction accuracy against the state-of-the-art. We also apply WGAN-gp Transformer to auto-scaling mechanisms on Google cloud platforms, and the WGAN-gp Transformer-based auto-scaling mechanism outperforms the LSTM-based mechanism by significantly reducing VM over-provisioning and under-provisioning rates.

Wasserstein Adversarial Transformer for Cloud Workload Prediction

A significant challenge in credit risk models for underwriting is the presence of bias in model training data. When most credit risk models are built using only applicants who had been funded for credit, such non-random sampling predominantly influenced by credit policymakers and previous loan performances may introduce sampling bias to the models, and thus alter their prediction of default on loan repayment when screening applications from prospective borrowers. In this paper, we propose a novel data augmentation method that aims to identify and pseudo-label parts of the historically declined loan applications to mitigate sampling bias in the training data. We also introduce a new measure to assess the performance from the business perspective, loan application approval rates at various loan default rate levels. Our proposed methods were compared to the original supervised learning model and the traditional sampling issue remedy techniques in the industry. The experiment and early production results from deployed model show that self-training method with calibrated probability as data augmentation selection criteria improved the ability of credit scoring to differentiate default loan applications and, more importantly, can increase loan approval rate up to 8.8\%,  while keeping similar default rate comparing to baselines. The results demonstrate practical implications on how future underwriting model development processes should follow.

Combating Sampling Bias: A Self-Training Method in Credit Risk Models

The CO2 capture efficiency in solvent-based carbon capture systems (CCSs) critically depends on the gas-solvent interfacial area (IA), making maximization of IA a foundational challenge in CCS design. While the IA associated with a particular CCS design can be estimated via a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulation, using CFD to derive the IAs associated with numerous CCS designs is prohibitively costly. Fortunately, previous works such as Deep Fluids (DF) (Kim et al., 2019) show that large simulation speedups are achievable by replacing CFD simulators with neural network (NN) surrogates that faithfully mimic the CFD simulation process. This raises the possibility of a fast, accurate replacement for a CFD simulator and therefore efficient approximation of the IAs required by CCS design optimization. Thus, here, we build on the DF approach to develop surrogates that can successfully be applied to our complex carbon-capture CFD simulations. Our optimized DF-style surrogates produce large speedups (4000x) while obtaining IA relative errors as low as 4% on unseen CCS configurations that lie within the range of training configurations. This hints at the promise of NN surrogates for our CCS design optimization problem. Nonetheless, DF has inherent limitations with respect to CCS design (e.g., limited transferability of trained models to new CCS packings). We conclude with ideas to address these challenges.

Latent Space Simulation for Carbon Capture Design Optimization

Finding or tracking the location of an object accurately is a crucial problem in defense applications, robotics and computer vision. Radars fall into the spectrum of high-end defense sensors or systems upon which the security and surveillance of the entire world depends. There has been a lot of focus on the topic of Multi Sensor Tracking in recent years, with radars as the sensors. The Indian Air Force uses a Multi Sensor Tracking (MST) system to detect flights pan India, developed and supported by BEL(Bharat Electronics Limited), a defense agency we are working with. In this paper, we describe our Machine Learning approach, which is built on top of the existing system, the Air force uses. For purposes of this work, we trained our models on about 13 million anonymized real Multi Sensor tracking data points provided by radars performing tracking activity across the Indian air space. The approach has shown an increase in the accuracy of tracking by 5 percent from 91 to 96. The model and the corresponding code were transitioned to BEL, which has been tested in their simulation environment with a plan to take forward for ground testing. Our approach comprises of 3 steps: (a) We train a Neural Network model and a CatBoost model and ensemble them using a Logistic Regression model to predict one type of error, namely Splitting error, which can help to improve the accuracy of tracking. (b) We again train a Neural Network model and a CatBoost model and ensemble them using a different Logistic Regression model to predict the second type of error, namely Merging error, which can further improve the accuracy of tracking. (c) We use cosine similarity to find the nearest neighbour and correct the data points, predicted to have Splitting/Merging errors, by predicting the original global track of these data points.

CB+NN Ensemble to Improve Tracking Accuracy in Air Surveillance

Implementations of artificial intelligence (AI) based on deep learning (DL) have proven to be highly successful in many domains, from biomedical imaging to natural language processing, but are still rarely applied in the space industry, particularly for onboard learning of planetary surfaces. In this project, we discuss the utility and limitations of DL, enhanced with topological footprints of the sensed objects, for multi-class classification of planetary surface patterns, in conjunction with tactile and embedded sensing in rover exploratory missions. We consider a Topological Convolutional Network (TCN) model with a persistence-based attention mechanism for supervised classification of various landforms. We study TCN's performance on the Barefoot surface pattern dataset, a novel surface pressure dataset from a prototype tactile rover wheel, known as the Barefoot Rover tactile wheel. Multi-class pattern recognition in the Barefoot data has neither been ever tackled before with DL nor assessed with topological methods. We provide insights into advantages and restrictions of topological DL as the early-stage concept for onboard learning and planetary exploration.

TCN: Pioneering Topological-Based Convolutional Networks for Planetary Terrain Learning

Digitization of newspapers is of interest for many reasons including preservation of history, accessibility and search ability, etc. While digitization of documents such as scientific articles and magazines is prevalent in literature, one of the main challenges for digitization of newspaper lies in its complex layout (e.g. articles spanning multiple columns, text interrupted by images) analysis, which is necessary to preserve human read-order. This work provides a major breakthrough in the digitization of newspapers on three fronts: first, releasing a dataset of 3000 fully-annotated, real-world newspaper images from 21 different U.S. states representing an extensive variety of complex layouts for document layout analysis; second, proposing layout segmentation as a precursor to existing optical character recognition (OCR) engines, where multiple state-of-the-art image segmentation models and several post-processing methods are explored for document layout segmentation; third, providing a thorough and structured evaluation protocol for isolated layout segmentation and end-to-end OCR.

DocBed: A Multi-Stage OCR Solution for Documents with Complex Layouts

More than US$ 27 billion is estimated to have been paid-out in farm support in USA alone since 1991 in response to climate change impacts on agriculture, with costs likely continuing to rise. With the wider adoption of precision agriculture - an agriculture management strategy that involves gathering, processing and analyzing temporal, spatial and individual data - in both developed and developing countries, there is an increasing opportunity to harness accumulating, shareable, big data using artificial intelligence (AI) methods, collected from weather stations, field sensor networks, Internet-of-Things devices, unmanned aerial vehicles, and earth observational satellites. This requires smart algorithms tailored to agricultural data types, integrated into digital solutions that are viable, flexible, and scalable for wide deployment for a wide variety of agricultural users and decision-makers. We discuss a novel AI approach that addresses the real-world problem of developing a viable solution for reliably, timely, and cost-effectively forecasting crop status across large agricultural regions using Earth observational information in near-real-time. Our approach is based on extracting time-conditioned topological features which characterize complex spatio-temporal dependencies between crop production regions and integrating such topological signatures into Long Short Term Memory (LSTM). We discuss utility and limitations of the resulting zigzag persistence-based LSTM (ZZTop-LSTM) as a new tool for developing more informed crop insurance rate-making and accurate tracking of changing risk exposures and vulnerabilities within insurance risk areas.

Learning Space-Time Crop Yield Patterns with Zigzag Persistence-Based LSTM: Toward More Reliable Digital Agriculture Insurance

Formal response organizations perform rapid damage assessments after natural and human-induced disasters to measure the extent of damage to infrastructures such as roads, bridges, and buildings. This time-critical task, when performed using traditional approaches such as experts surveying the disaster areas, poses serious challenges and delays response. This paper presents an AI-based system that leverages citizen science to collect damage images reported on social media and perform rapid damage assessment in real-time. Several image processing models in the system tackle non-trivial challenges posed by social media as a data source, such as high-volume of redundant and irrelevant content. The system determines the severity of damage using a state-of-the-art computer vision model. Together with a response organization in the US, we deployed the system to identify damage reports during a major real-world disaster. We observe that almost 42% of the images are unique, 28% relevant, and more importantly, only 10% of them contain either mild or severe damage. Experts from our partner organization provided feedback on the system's mistakes, which we used to perform additional experiments to retrain the models. Consequently, the retrained models based on expert feedback on the target domain data helped us achieve significant performance improvements.

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