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technical paper
Writing about the Expected Istanbul Earthquake: Communication of Scientific Uncertainty in Turkish Printed Media
keywords:
disaster
science studies
communication
This paper aims to explore science journalism in the mainstream print media of Turkey. On August 17, 1999, a devastating earthquake with a magnitude of 7.2 occurred in Northwestern Turkey and claimed approximately 18,000 lives. Several scientific studies and projects have concluded that another earthquake at the magnitude of at least 7 will hit Istanbul, causing at least 30 thousand deaths. However, the scientific uncertainty about the expected earthquake makes it impossible to know beforehand the location, magnitude, and time of the disaster. Since the 1999 earthquake, there is a vast and constant interest in the Turkish printed media about the anticipated disaster. This paper aims to unfold the ways in which science journalists produce knowledge about a future event that is surrounded by many uncertainties. Using semi-structured in-depth interviews with 15 journalists, the paper focuses on how the scientific knowledge produced for a not-yet-happened natural disaster is being turned into the news by the journalists.