Greece

With the advent of social media, concepts such as forecasting and nowcast-ing became part of the public debate. Past successes include predicting elec-tion results, stock prices and forecasting events or behaviors. This work aims at using Twitter data, related to songs and artists that appeared on the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 charts, and perform sentiment analysis on the col-lected tweets, to predict the charts in the future. Our goal is to investigate the relation between the number of mentions of a song and its artist, as well as the semantic orientation of the relevant posts and its performance on the subsequent chart. The problem was approached via regression analysis, which estimated the difference between the actual and predicted positions and moderate results. We also focused on forecasting chart ranges, namely the top 5, 10 and 20. Given the accuracy and F-score achieved and com-pared to previous research, our findings are deemed satisfactory, especially for predicting the top 20.

AIAI 2020

Using Twitter to Predict Chart Position for Songs

regression.

social media analytics

prediction

classification

Naval Information Warfare Center Pacific is partnering with AFCEA San Diego chapter to host the workshop.

The NAML workshop is an opportunity for researchers from Navy research and development centers and our partner organizations to exchange technical ideas and to come together as a team.

The goals of NAML are:

* To spread awareness of current machine learning research relevant to Naval applications

* To connect machine learning researchers with experts in military requirements

* To build and strengthen collaborations within the defense research community

**Watch this video to hear about the AFCEA purpose.**

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NAML 2021

technical paper

AIAI 2020 (16th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications and Innovations) should be held in Halkidiki, Greece. Due to current Covid-19 situation the conference will be held virtually. Underline will host a repository of video talks and preserve them for the future. Videos will be released on Underline one day after the conference.

The emerging 5G networks promises more throughput, faster, and more reliable services, but as the network complexity and dynamics increases, it becomes more difficult to troubleshoot the systems. Vendors are spending a lot of time and effort on early anomaly detection in their development cycle and majority of the time is spent on manually analyzing system logs. While main research in anomaly detection uses performance metrics, anomaly detection using functional behaviour is still lacking in depth analysis. In this paper we show how a boosted ensemble of Long Short Term Memory classifiers can detect anomalies in the 5G Radio Access Network system logs. Acquiring system logs from a live 5G network is difficult due to confidentiality issues, live network disturbance, and problems to repeat scenarios. Therefore, we perform our evaluation on logs from a 5G test bed that simulate realistic traffic in a city. Our ensemble learns the functional behaviour of an application by training on logs from normal execution time. It can then detect deviations from normal behaviour and also be retrained on false positive cases found during validation. Anomaly detection in RAN shows that our ensemble called BoostLog, outperforms a single LSTM classifier and further testing on HDFS logs confirms that BoostLog also can be used in other domains. Instead of using domain experts to manually analyse system logs, BoostLog can be used by less experienced trouble shooters to automatically detect anomalies faster and more reliable.

Boosted Ensemble Learning for Anomaly Detection in 5G RAN

The presentation depicts the work reported in the paper #95 that has been accepted in the conference AIAI 2020. The paper suggests a real-time online shopper behavior prediction system which predicts the visitor's shopping intent as soon as the website is visited. To do that, we rely on session and visitor information and we investigate naive Bayes classifier, C4.5 decision tree and random forest. Furthermore, we use oversampling to improve the performance and the scalability of each classifier. The results show that random forest produces significantly higher accuracy and F1 Score than the compared techniques.

Real-time prediction of online shoppers’ purchasing intention using random forest

Products with short life cycles are becoming increasingly common in many industries due to higher levels of competition, shorter product development time and increased product diversity. Accurate demand forecasting of such products is crucial as it plays an important role in driving efficient business operations and achieving a sustainable competitive advantage. Traditional forecasting methods are inappropriate for this type of products due to the highly uncertain and volatile demand and the lack of historical sales data. It is therefore critical to develop different forecasting methods to analyse the demand trend of these products. This paper proposes a new data mining approach based on the incremental k-means clustering algorithm and the RULES-6 rule induction classifier for forecasting the demand of short life cycle products. The performance of the proposed approach is evaluated using real data from one of the leading Egyptian companies in IT ecommerce and retail business, and results show that it has the capability to accurately forecast demand trends of new products with no historical sales data.

Demand Forecasting of Short Life Cycle Products Using Data Mining Techniques

The more complex data are, the higher the number of possibilities to extract partial information from those data. These possibilities arise by adopting different analytic approaches. The heterogeneity among these approaches and in particular the heterogeneity in results they produce are challenging for follow-up studies, including replication, validation and translational studies. Furthermore, they complicate the interpretation of findings with wide-spread relevance. Here, we take the example of statistical epistasis networks derived from genome-wide association studies with single nucleotide polymorphisms as nodes. Even though we are only dealing with a single data type, the epistasis detection problem suffers from many pitfalls, such as the wide variety of analytic tools to detect them, each highlighting different aspects of epistasis and exhibiting different properties in maintaining false positive control. To reconcile different network views to the same problem, we considered 3 network aggregation methods and discussed their performance in the context of epistasis network aggregation. We furthermore applied a latent class method as best performer to real-life data on inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and highlighted its benefits to increase our understanding about IBD underlying genetic architecture.

Network aggregation to enhance results derived from multiple analytics

finElink is a recommendation system that provides guidance to French innovative companies with regard to their financing strategy through public funding mechanisms. Analysis of financial data from former funding recipients partially feeds the recommendation system. Financial company data from a representative French population are reduced and projected onto a two-dimensional space with Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection, a manifold learning algorithm. Former French funding recipients' data are projected onto the two-dimensional space. Their distribution is non-uniform, with data concentrating in one region of the projection space. This region is identified using Density-based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise. Applicant companies which are projected within this region are labeled potential funding recipients and will be suggested the most competitive funding mechanisms.

Manifold learning for innovation funding: identification of potential funding recipients

We present a novel justification for why k-means clusters should be considered as (hyper)ball-shaped ones. We show that the clusters must be ball-shaped to attain motion-consistency. If clusters are ball-shaped, one can derive conditions under which two clusters attain the global optimum of k-means. 
We show further that if the gap is sufficient for perfect separation, then an incremental k-means is able to discover perfectly separated clusters. This is in conflict with the impression left by an earlier publication by Ackerman and Dasgupta. The proposed motion-transformations can be used to the new labeled data for clustering from existing ones.

k-means Cluster Shape Implications

The amount of devices gathering and using personal data without the person's approval is exponentially growing. The European General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) came following the requests of individuals who felt at risk of personal privacy breaches. Consequently, privacy preservation through machine learning algorithms were designed based on cryptography, statistics, databases modeling and data mining. In this paper, we present two-levels data anonymization methods. The first level consists of anonymizing data using an unsupervised learning protocol, and the second level is anonymization by incorporating the discriminative information to test the effect of labels on the quality of the anonymized data. The results show that the proposed approaches give good results in terms of utility what preserves the trade-off between data privacy and its usefulness.

A two-levels data anonymization approach

This paper introduces a novel graph-based approach to select features from multiple textual documents. The proposed solution enables the investigation of the importance of a term into a whole corpus of documents by utilizing contemporary graph theory methods, such as community detection algorithms and node centrality measures. Compared to well-tried existing solutions, evaluation results show that the proposed approach increases the accuracy of most text classifiers employed and decreases the number of features required to achieve ‘state-of-the-art’ accuracy. Well-known datasets used for the experimentations reported in this paper include 20Newsgroups, LingSpam, Amazon Reviews and Reuters.

An innovative graph-based approach to advance feature selection from multiple textual documents

In last decade, cryptocurrency has emerged in financial area
as a key factor in businesses and financial market opportunities. Ac-
curate predictions can assist cryptocurrency investors towards right in-
vesting decisions and lead to potential increased profits. Additionally,
they can also support policy makers and financial researchers in study-
ing cryptocurrency markets behavior. Nevertheless, cryptocurrency price
prediction is considered a very challenging task, due to its chaotic and
very complex nature. In this study we evaluate some of the most success-
ful and widely used deep learning algorithms forecasting cryptocurrency
prices. The results obtained, provide significant evidence that deep learn-
ing models are not able to solve this problem efficiently and effectively.
Following the detailed problem and the conducted results analysis, we
concluded that it is essential to invent and incorporate new techniques,
strategies and alternative approaches such as: more sophisticated predic-
tion algorithms, advanced ensemble methods, feature engineering tech-
niques and other validation metrics.

Investigating the problem of cryptocurrency price prediction: A deep learning approach.

This presentation show some applications related to the use of Deep Echo State Network architecture to model and forecast heavy nonlinear processes common in the steel industry. Several applications are presented focusing on forecasting models related to energy content of steelwork byproduct gasses. Deep Echo State Network models are trained, validated and tested by exploiting datasets coming from a real industrial context, with good results in terms of accuracy of the predictions. The results have been compared respect to another common recurrent neural network architecture called LSTM.

Using Twitter to Predict Chart Position for Songs

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Boosted Ensemble Learning for Anomaly Detection in 5G RAN

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Using Twitter to Predict Chart Position for Songs

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Next from AIAI 2020

Boosted Ensemble Learning for Anomaly Detection in 5G RAN

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Using Machine Learning to Predict CASREP Occurrence and Trouble Ticket Duration

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