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Forecasting conversational derailment is the task of predicting, as the conversation unfolds, whether it will eventually derail into personal attacks. Since forecasting models operate in an online fashion, they must decide whether to &quot;trigger&quot; an alert after each utterance—for example, to notify participants or a moderator that the conversation is at risk of derailing. Existing approaches make this decision solely based on the estimated likelihood of derailment given the preceding utterances, implicitly assuming that the conversation’s future trajectory is fixed. As a result, they ignore the possibility of future recovery and incur an unnecessarily high rate of false positives.

In this work we propose a method for decoupling the decision to trigger from derailment likelihood estimation. Our approach is inspired by the first human baseline on this task, which shows that humans achieve dramatically lower false positive rates by selectively deferring their decision to trigger when they anticipate that tension is likely to subside. We operationalize this insight with a deferral mechanism that uses forward-looking simulations to assess whether a tense moment admits plausible paths to recovery. Incorporating this mechanism into a state-of-the-art forecasting model substantially reduces false positives without sacrificing forecasting accuracy. More broadly, this work highlights the value of treating decision-making as a first-class component of forecasting systems.

ACL 2026

Wait! There’s a Way Out: A Decision Mechanism for Forecasting Conversational Derailment

### Welcome to ACL 2023, the 61st Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics! 
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Following the succession of the recent conferences in our field, ACL 2023 will adopt a hybrid format.
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ACL 2023

The Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL) is the premier international scientific and professional society for people working on computational problems involving human language, a field often referred to as either computational linguistics or natural language processing.

Forecasting conversational derailment is the task of predicting, as the conversation unfolds, whether it will eventually derail into personal attacks. Since forecasting models operate in an online fashion, they must decide whether to "trigger" an alert after each utterance—for example, to notify participants or a moderator that the conversation is at risk of derailing. Existing approaches make this decision solely based on the estimated likelihood of derailment given the preceding utterances, implicitly assuming that the conversation’s future trajectory is fixed. As a result, they ignore the possibility of future recovery and incur an unnecessarily high rate of false positives.

In this work we propose a method for decoupling the decision to trigger from derailment likelihood estimation. Our approach is inspired by the first human baseline on this task, which shows that humans achieve dramatically lower false positive rates by selectively deferring their decision to trigger when they anticipate that tension is likely to subside. We operationalize this insight with a deferral mechanism that uses forward-looking simulations to assess whether a tense moment admits plausible paths to recovery. Incorporating this mechanism into a state-of-the-art forecasting model substantially reduces false positives without sacrificing forecasting accuracy. More broadly, this work highlights the value of treating decision-making as a first-class component of forecasting systems.

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It is my great pleasure and honor to welcome you to the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL 2026), held in San Diego, California, USA, July 2–7, 2026. ACL 2026 continues our fields tradition of excellence in scholarship, innovation, and inclusivity, and I am deeply grateful to the many volunteers who have worked tirelessly to bring this event to life.

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Commonsense reasoning often involves evaluating multiple plausible interpretations rather than selecting a single atomic answer, yet most benchmarks rely on single-label evaluation, obscuring whether statements are jointly plausible, mutually exclusive, or jointly implausible. We introduce LOGICAL-COMMONSENSEQA, a benchmark that reframes commonsense reasoning as logical composition over pairs of atomic statements using plausibility-level operators (AND, OR and NEITHER/NOR). Evaluating instruction-tuned, reasoning-specialized, and fine-tuned models under zero-shot, few-shot, and chain-of-thought prompting, we find that while models perform reasonably on conjunctive and moderately on disjunctive reasoning, performance degrades sharply on negation-based questions. LOGICAL-COMMONSENSEQA exposes fundamental reasoning limitations and provides a controlled framework for advancing compositional commonsense reasoning.

 LOGICAL-COMMONSENSEQA: A Benchmark for Logical Commonsense Reasoning

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated great potential for automating the evaluation of natural language generation. Previous frameworks of LLM-as-a-judge fall short in two ways: they either use zero-shot setting without consulting any human input, which leads to low alignment, or fine-tune LLMs on labeled data, which requires a non-trivial number of samples. Moreover, previous methods often provide little reasoning behind automated evaluations. In this paper, we propose HypoEval, Hypothesis-guided Evaluation framework, which first uses a small corpus of human evaluations to generate more detailed rubrics for human judgments and then incorporates a checklist-like approach to combine LLM's assigned scores on each decomposed dimension to acquire overall scores. With only 30 human evaluations, HypoEval achieves state-of-the-art performance in alignment with both human rankings (Spearman correlation) and human scores (Pearson correlation), on average outperforming G-Eval by 11.86% and fine-tuned Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct with at least 3 times more human evaluations by 11.95%. Furthermore, we conduct systematic studies to assess the robustness of HypoEval, highlighting its effectiveness as a reliable and interpretable automated evaluation framework.

HypoEval: Hypothesis-Guided Evaluation for Natural Language Generation

Large language models (LLMs) exhibit complementary strengths arising from differences in pretraining data, model architectures, and decoding behaviors. Inference-time ensembling provides a practical way to combine these capabilities without retraining. However, existing ensemble approaches suffer from fundamental limitations. Most rely on fixed fusion granularity, which lacks the flexibility required for mid-generation adaptation and fails to adapt to different generation characteristics across tasks. To address these challenges, we propose AdaFuse, an adaptive ensemble decoding framework that dynamically selects semantically appropriate fusion units during generation. Rather than committing to a fixed granularity, AdaFuse adjusts fusion behavior on the fly based on the decoding context, with words serving as basic building blocks for alignment. To be specific, we introduce an uncertainty-based criterion to decide whether to apply ensembling at each decoding step. Under confident decoding states, the model continues generation directly. In less certain states, AdaFuse invokes a diversity-aware scaling strategy to explore alternative candidate continuations and inform ensemble decisions. This design establishes a synergistic interaction between adaptive ensembling and test-time scaling, where ensemble decisions guide targeted exploration, and the resulting diversity in turn strengthens ensemble quality. Experiments on open-domain QA, arithmetic reasoning, and machine translation demonstrate that AdaFuse consistently outperforms strong ensemble baselines, achieving an average relative improvement of 6.88%.

AdaFuse: Adaptive Ensemble Decoding for Large Language Models

Deep research frameworks have shown promising capabilities in synthesizing comprehensive reports from web sources. While deep research possesses significant potential to address complex issues through planning and research cycles, existing frameworks are deficient in sufficient evaluation procedures and stage-specific protections. They typically treat evaluation as exact match accuracy of question-answering, but overlook crucial aspects of report quality such as credibility, coherence, breadth, depth, and safety. This oversight may result in hazardous or malicious sources being integrated into the final report. To address this, we introduce DeepResearchGuard, a framework featuring four-stage safeguards with open-domain evaluation, and DRSafeBench, a novel stage-wise safety benchmark. Evaluating across GPT-4o, o4-mini, Gemini-2.5-flash, DeepSeek-v3, and GPT-5, DeepResearchGuard improves defense success rates by an absolute 16.53% while reducing over-refusal rates to approximately 6%. Through extensive experiments, we show that DeepResearchGuard enables comprehensive open-domain evaluation and stage-aware defenses that effectively block harmful content propagation, while systematically improving report quality without excessive over-refusal rates.

Deep Research with Open-Domain Evaluation and Multi-Stage Guardrails for Safety

Recent image generation and editing models demonstrate robust adherence to instructions and high visual quality on academic benchmarks.
However, their performance on paid, real-world design projects remains uncertain. 
We introduce \textbf{ServImage}, a benchmark that explicitly correlates model outputs with economic value in commercial design projects. 
ServImage consists of 
(i) \textbf{\textit{ServImageBench}}: a dataset of 1.07k paid commercial design tasks and 2.05k designer deliverables totaling over \$295k, covering portrait, product, and digital content, along with 33k candidate images and 33k human annotations.
(ii) \textbf{\textit{ServImageScore}}: an integrated scoring system that combines three quality dimensions: baseline requirements fulfilment, visual execution quality, and commercial necessity satisfaction. These three dimensions are designed to characterize the factors that drive human payment decisions and indicate whether an image is commercially acceptable.
(iii) \textbf{\textit{ServImageModel}}: under this scoring system, we propose a payment prediction model trained on the human-annotated candidate images, achieving 82.00\% accuracy in predicting human payment decisions and producing calibrated payment probabilities.
ServImage provides a comprehensive foundation for assessing the commercial viability of image generation models and offers a scalable resource for future research on economically grounded vision systems
\faGithub~\href{https://github.com/FengxianJi/ServImage}{Github.}

 ServImage: An Image Generation and Editing Benchmark from Real-world Commercial Imaging Services

Large Language Models (LLMs) have increasingly enhanced or replaced traditional Non-Player Characters (NPCs) in video games. However, these LLM-based NPCs inherit underlying social biases (e.g., race or class), posing fairness risks during in-game interactions. To address the limited exploration of this issue, we introduce FairGamer, the first benchmark to evaluate social biases across three interaction patterns: transaction, cooperation, and competition. FairGamer assesses four bias types, including class, race, age, and nationality, across 12 distinct evaluation tasks using a novel metric, FairMCV. Our evaluation of seven frontier LLMs reveals that: (1) models exhibit biased decision-making, with Grok-4-Fast demonstrating the highest bias (average FairMCV = 76.9%); and (2) larger LLMs display more severe social biases, suggesting that increased model capacity inadvertently amplifies these biases. We release FairGamer at https://github.com/BingkangShi/FairGamer to facilitate future research on NPC fairness.

FAIRGAMER: Evaluating Social Biases in LLM-Based Video Game NPCs

Large language models (LLMs) are introducing a paradigm shift in molecular discovery by enabling text-guided interaction with chemical spaces through natural language and symbolic notations, with emerging extensions to incorporate multi-modal inputs. To advance this emerging field, this survey provides an up-to-date and forward-looking review of the emerging use of LLMs for two central tasks: molecule generation and molecule optimization. We organize our survey around four fundamental challenges that have emerged as critical evaluation dimensions in recent studies: ensuring validity, enhancing synthesizability, achieving precise property control, and maximizing diversity. Based on this, we systematically analyze how current LLM learning paradigms are applied to tackle each challenge, revealing the distinct capabilities and inherent limitations of each approach. In addition, we include the commonly used datasets and evaluation protocols aligned with these challenges. We conclude by discussing future directions, positioning this survey as a resource for researchers working at the intersection of LLMs and molecular science. A continuously updated reading list is available at \url{https://github.com/REAL-Lab-NU/Awesome-LLM-Centric-Molecular-Discovery}.

A Survey of Large Language Models for Text-Guided Molecular Discovery: From Molecule Generation to Optimization

This paper introduces Late Code Chunking (LC$^2$), a chunking strategy designed to improve the semantic understanding of code segments for Large Language Models (LLMs). Repository-level code completion requires predicting the completion of unfinished code by leveraging cross-file context spread across a repository. However, when retrieved fragments have missing semantics—the loss of structural or behavioral information during chunking—LLMs struggle to interpret the target code. To address this, LC$^2$ refines retrieved chunks by constructing a dual context: a "Code Retrieval Context" optimized for similarity-based search, and a "Code Comprehension Context" that serves as a late enrichment step through context expansion and augmentation. This dual-context design reduces information loss due to chunking and enhances the ability of LLMs to utilize retrieved code. Additionally, we introduce an Asymmetric Query-Chunk Sizing strategy to further optimize retrieval quality by minimizing query noise. Our experiments demonstrate that LC$^2$ provides robust performance gains, achieving a statistically significant 19.7\% improvement in Exact Match accuracy on the CrossCodeEval benchmark compared to the best existing chunking method.

Late Code Chunking: A Code Chunking Strategy for Repository-Level Code Completion

Search-engine date filters are widely used to enforce pre-cutoff retrieval in retrospective evaluations of search-augmented forecasters. We show this approach is unreliable across two major search engines: auditing Google Search's before: filter and DuckDuckGo's date-range filter, we find that at least one retrieved page contains major post-cutoff leakage for 71% of questions on Google and 81% on DuckDuckGo, and the answer is directly revealed for 41% and 55%, respectively. Using gpt-oss-120b to forecast with these leaky documents, we demonstrate inflated prediction accuracy (Brier score 0.10 vs. 0.24 with leak-free documents). We characterize recurring leakage mechanisms, including updated articles, related-content modules, unreliable metadata, and absence-based signals, and argue that date-restricted search on these engines is insufficient for credible retrospective evaluation. We recommend stronger retrieval safeguards or evaluation on frozen, time-stamped web snapshots.

 Temporal Leakage in Search-Engine Date-Filtered Web Retrieval: A Retrospective Forecasting Case Study

The advent of multi-modal large language models (MLLMs) has greatly advanced research on video fake news detection (VFND) tasks. Existing benchmarks typically focus on the detection accuracy, while failing to provide fine-grained assessments for the entire detection process. To address these limitations, we introduce POVFNDB (Process-oriented Video Fake News Detection Benchmark), a process-oriented benchmark comprising 10 tasks designed to systematically evaluate MLLMs' perception, understanding, and reasoning capabilities in VFND. This benchmark contains 36,240 human-annotated question-answer (QA) in structured or open-ended formats, spanning 15 distinct evaluation dimensions that characterize different aspects of the video fake news detection process.Using POVFNDB, we conduct comprehensive evaluations on both proprietary and open-source MLLMs. Moreover, We fine-tune Qwen2.5VL-7B-Instruct on a reasoning dataset generated by our proposed POVFND-CoT, a chain-of-thought method that utilizes rationales from evaluation results and rationale validation. The resulting model achieves sota performance on VFND.

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LOGICAL-COMMONSENSEQA: A Benchmark for Logical Commonsense Reasoning

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